Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.002897 0.003028 0.003161 0.003307 0.003463 0.003623 0.003802
2025-02-16 0.002650 0.002847 0.003056 0.003293 0.003557 0.003841 0.004173
2025-02-23 0.002483 0.002718 0.002972 0.003269 0.003608 0.003986 0.004441
2025-03-02 0.002391 0.002657 0.002950 0.003302 0.003713 0.004182 0.004764
2025-03-09 0.002289 0.002574 0.002895 0.003286 0.003754 0.004300 0.004993
2025-03-16 0.002196 0.002496 0.002839 0.003263 0.003779 0.004394 0.005193
2025-03-23 0.002102 0.002411 0.002768 0.003217 0.003771 0.004443 0.005333
2025-03-30 0.002021 0.002336 0.002706 0.003176 0.003766 0.004492 0.005472
2025-04-06 0.001969 0.002295 0.002681 0.003178 0.003812 0.004604 0.005695
2025-04-13 0.001871 0.002194 0.002579 0.003080 0.003724 0.004541 0.005681
2025-04-20 0.001831 0.002162 0.002561 0.003085 0.003769 0.004649 0.005898
2025-04-27 0.001814 0.002157 0.002575 0.003132 0.003868 0.004830 0.006222
2025-05-04 0.001757 0.002101 0.002525 0.003094 0.003855 0.004862 0.006343
2025-05-11 0.001715 0.002063 0.002495 0.003082 0.003875 0.004941 0.006533
2025-05-18 0.001671 0.002021 0.002460 0.003060 0.003881 0.004997 0.006691
2025-05-25 0.001651 0.002010 0.002463 0.003089 0.003957 0.005154 0.007005
2025-06-01 0.001615 0.001976 0.002435 0.003075 0.003971 0.005223 0.007189
2025-06-08 0.001578 0.001940 0.002403 0.003054 0.003975 0.005276 0.007348
2025-06-15 0.001534 0.001894 0.002356 0.003012 0.003946 0.005279 0.007430
2025-06-22 0.001495 0.001852 0.002315 0.002975 0.003923 0.005290 0.007523
2025-06-29 0.001472 0.001832 0.002302 0.002977 0.003956 0.005385 0.007755
2025-07-06 0.001416 0.001766 0.002225 0.002887 0.003851 0.005268 0.007635
2025-07-13 0.001397 0.001750 0.002215 0.002891 0.003887 0.005364 0.007872